Tag: australia

The Caulfield Cup signals the start of the real Spring racing carnival in my mind down in Victoria. We really get to see what is under the hood of all the internationals with core goals of the Cox Plate or Melbourne Cup. In recent years, the goal was to find a horse with a Timeform rating higher than 117 that is well enough weighted and maps well in the race. Durston blew that all away last year with the lowest Timeform rating to win the race this century. Before we get into the form, let’s see what it actually takes to win the Caulfield Cup on the Timeform ratings scale and then relate it to the form.

Soft 5 writing this but it’s a 32’c day and expecting it all to dry out. This is a very tricky track to play at – the first turn over 1200m comes up quickly so being caught wide early is not a good thing. Mount Gambier Race 4 – 1800m – BM74 1. Sebonna: Won…
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Mid-week at Gawler. An interesting track that can give most runners a chance. One race that stands out. I would just note that Grey Vitality in the last won like a horse going places last start and the data suggests it would be a moral running similar today… but its never done anything like that…
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Morpehtville Race 4 – 1250m – BM-68 1. Lady Dunmore: Won two of last three. Performs best when on speed. Has a solid final 400m sprint in the legs if they go slow out front but also can finish off well off a hot speed. Likely leader in a race devoid of speed runners.2. Fighting…
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Welcome to what is now my 9th Melbourne Cup preview i’ve posted online, previously on TheProfits website and now on the RacingWorldwide website! I love the International fields and the task of finding the winner in this race. This year we have a short-priced favourite that deserves the quote. There are a few with chances…
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Last seen in listed grade beaten 4 lengths. Ran to 111 Timeform on that day. Was the race under-rated though? The race winner, Baaeed ran 112+ and has since ran 128+ last start. Baaeed went on to win a group 3 later that month, a Group 1 in September and Group 1 in October. Previous…
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Listed grade winner and Group 2/3 placed over in Ireland. Ran a career peak 112+ Timeform rating when second behind Earlswood who is a multiple Group 3 winner. Held up for a run top of straight but out in more than enough time and ran on well without threatening the winner. How do these international…
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An on speed type of runner that has Won in Group 2 and Group 1 grade along with further placings in Group 1s on Heavy tracks. Acts best around 1400m range on recent preps form. He landed in Australia with a Timeform rating of 115. A mark that would be respectable going towards most of…
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Moonee Valley Race 9 – 2040m – Group 1 Cox Plate 1. Zaaki: Hasn’t led in any start down under since arriving but has sat OSL with genuine speeds set. If Callsign Mav kicks up and the tempo isn’t true, may take over from the 1600m. Or they may just elect to lead. Will want…
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The 2021 Caulfield Cup will be run and won at Caulfield Racecourse on 16 October 2021. There is a lot of rain on the radar with the potential to hit the track between now and the race so it will be interesting just how wet a track we are presented with on the day. I’m…
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