International Horse Profile: Away He Goes
Confirmed to be making his way out to Australia along with Twillight Payment closer to the Melbourne Cup, Away He Goes is guaranteed a run with 54.5kg in the race.
The standout runs on his record is the 2nd behind Trueshan in the Al Shaqeb Goodwood Cup two runs back when he traveled up like the winner but was outgunned by the favourite Trueshan in the final 200m.
Acting on all surfaces that aren’t sloppy wet heavy surfaces, Away He Goes is an out and out stayer that wants tempo run out front and to run into it late.
For the effort in the Goodwood Cup, Away He Goes was rated 118 on the Timeform Ratings.
What it takes to win or place in the Melbourne Cup the past three years?
2020 Melbourne Cup – (120 Timeform Rating won the race – 120 prior to race for the horse)
1st – Twilight Payment – Came out to Melbourne with a 120 Timeform rating over 2800m on record. Only got 55.5kg and ran another 120 Timeform rating to win!
2nd – Tiger Moth – 52.5kg – Ran a 118+ Timeform Rating on lead-in. Measured up with a 122 career peak and still found one too good with the low weight.
3rd – Prince of Arran – Career peak of 118 coming in and with 54.5kg ran 117+ storming home late.
2019 Melbourne Cup – (117 Timeform Rating won the race – 117 prior to race for the horse)
1st – Vow and Declare – Got in with as low weight down 5kg from the Caulfield cup with just 52kg. Won a packed finish slowly run Melb Cup. Timeform rating 117 leading in and matched it.
2nd – Prince of Arran – Ran a 117 Timeform rating in the Geelong Cup and got in with 54kg. Only ran a 115 Timeform Rating, below his 118 best.
3rd – Il Paradiso – Lightweight 3YO with 52.5kg. Ran huge from an impossible position in a race with no speed on. Had ran 119 on lead in prep. Ran 122 Timeform Rating.
2018 Melbourne Cup – (124 Timeform Rating won the race – 124+ prior to race for the horse)
1st – Cross Counter – Genuine tempo on in the race setup perfectly Cross Counter with just 51kg. Had previous ran 124+ Timeform Rating at Goodwood over 2400m. Matched it at 3200m ridden cold.
2nd – Marmelo – On lead-in had run 120 Timeform Rating. Hasn’t gone beyond that since apart from 123 in this race with 55kg. #unlucky in race.
3rd – Prince of Arran – Ran career peak of 118 on lead in run. Got in with just 53kg but 3 days between runs only ran 115 off the hot tempo.
As you will note, most 3YOs have to perform a little higher Timeform Rating-wise due to the scales they are given. An older horse with the same weight – say 52.5kg – will have to run a few points less on the TF Rating.
Conclusion on Timeform Ratings for Away He Goes’ Chances in the Melbourne Cup
Just like we mentioned in the preview for Delphi, Prince Of Arran is the prime example over the past three years of how a horse like Away He Goes fits in here. Prince of Arran has carried 53kg, 54kg and 54.5kg to place top 3 each time. He has run 115, 117, and 118 on the Timeform ratings accordingly. Away He Goes gets into this race with 54.5kg and is confirmed a run and with a 118 Timeform Rating leading into this race, we have to consider the horse a winning chance. The ground may be the hidden gem for this horse with Away He Goes best run on a soft ground… but don’t discount the horse on a Good track either. This is a horse that can stay a good tempo and will be ‘in the mix’ the final 400m come the first Tuesday in November!
Author: Drew Patchell
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